Friday, June 26, 2009

The Case Against Public Health Insurance, in Five Minutes or Your Money Back

Of the many problems of living within sight of the U.S. Capitol and the seat of federal power, perhaps the worst is the tendency for serious, philosophical public policy debates to turn into wonkish statistics battles and scare-mongering. And nowhere in this town of wonks, wags and pols is this phenomenon more egregious than the fight over health care reform, and whether to create a "public option" to reduce the ranks of the uninsured. Given that this argument concerns a fairly momentous crossroads for our country, it would be nice to hear the opposing sides make their cases in clear-cut, conceptual terms that everyone can understand and evaluate. Right?

But alas. Where we need simple, objective facts, we get bewildering, and often contradictory, statistics, which can be distorted in any number of ways. Where we need broad, guiding principles, we get anecdotal horror stories intended to curtail debate.

Liberal proponents trot out a sob story about some poor single mom in Iowa bankrupted by 80 jillion dollars in hospital bills because she didn't have insurance when a piano fell on her. Conservatives counter with the story of some poor old man in Canada who had to wait a decade for a routine hip replacement because his country's public health bureaucracy wouldn't approve the procedure. Then some pointy-headed accountants from the Congressional Budget Office butt in with their estimates of what government health care will cost if hospitals are reimbursed at the current Medicaid rates, or at Medicaid rates plus 8.95 percent, or...

And the problem is, none of these anecdotes are false. None of the statistics are bogus. But they exist as individual trees in a vast forest, forever obscuring our view of What Really Matters. We could use a Health Insurance 101 curriculum, to serve as a starting point and a reality check for the politicians in Congress who, even as you read this, are busy debating how much control the government should exert over your physical well-being. Since no such remedial class seems to exist, I humbly offer the following as food for thought.

What the hell is insurance, exactly? Anybody with an age in two digits and an IQ in three digits will haughtily tell you they know all about something so part and parcel of boring adulthood, but judging by the tenor of today's health insurance debate, I'm inclined to think many could use a refresher.

In plain economic terms, "insurance" is a means of lowering risk. You insure yourself against things you hope won't happen, such as car crashes, house fires and sudden death. Insurance allows people to protect themselves from unlikely, but unpredictable, events that could very well ruin them financially. And insurers provide this protection when they judge that the premiums their customers pay will outweigh the costs of cleaning up after the rare but disastrous events they promise to insure against.

This is why drivers pay hundreds of dollars per month for car insurance, and why people with beach-front property pay thousands of dollars per year for hurricane insurance: They know a crash or a storm is unlikely, but they acknowledge that such things do happen. Insurers apply the exact same analysis: They'd rather not have to pay a claim, but they know they will have to sometimes. When the crash or the storm doesn't happen, everyone's happy.

The key here is that insurance is something that both you and your insurer hope you'll never need. Drivers with car insurance don't run red lights at 120 miles per hour, because they know insurance won't do them much good if they're dead. Thus arises another important feature of insurance: It should encourage people to avoid doing stupid things. This is the reason good drivers pay less for car insurance, and why nonsmokers pay less for life insurance. Insurers reward their customers in return for acting responsibly and lowering the risk of events the insurer doesn't want to pay for.

Then there's health insurance, which throws these basic principles out the window. In most employer-sponsored plans, each participant pays the same monthly premium, regardless of their likely health care costs. And in the current government-run health insurance programs (i.e., Medicare, Medicaid, SCHIP), beneficiaries receive coverage soley based on their age or economic status. In both cases, the insurer gives the insured no financial incentive to do the unpleasant things that minimize health costs, such as exercising, eating well or avoiding smoking. It should not be surprising that people respond by not doing these things. Meanwhile, health care costs explode.

So we have a health care system in which people ruin their health, because they have been given a blank check to do so. The negative effects of Marlboroughs, Big Macs and La-Z-Boy recliners are small, incremental, and difficult to see, so many Americans indulge in one or more of them with reckless abandon. When they need to see a doctor because of a lifestyle-related condition (think lung cancer, heart disease, Type II diabetes), they incur only a fraction of the cost, if they have insurance (with the notable exception of bogus policies that don't cover what they're supposed to cover).

Economically, this makes no sense. Consumers don't see the true costs of their purchases, because doctors, hospitals and pharmacies send the bills to a third party, the insurance company (or the government). Of course, many Americans understand the effects of smoking, junk food and sloth; they avoid these things, and thereby support their less-conscientious co-workers and neighbors. Insurance companies actually compete for healthy customers, because they offset the unhealthy customers, who pay the same rates but need lots of costly care.

Unfortunately, the healthy still need insurance, to do what insurance is supposed to do: avoid the costs of unpredictable disasters, such as getting run over by a bus and needing expensive surgery. In the process, they pick up the tab for the avoidable expenses regularly incurred by the people who eat too much, drink too much and smoke too much. This is nothing more than a legalized protection racket that preys on anyone who pays more in premiums than they receive in needed health care.

Somehow, health insurance has morphed from "protection against things I try to avoid anyway" to "the way I get someone else to pay for the consequences of my bad decisions." Remember this as liberals in Congress, along with our president, lobby to expand this perverse system further and put government more fully in charge of it.

7 comments:

MB said...

This post made me put out my Marlborough, spit out my Big Mac and sit up from my recliner (albeit v. briefly). Well done.

SKS said...

I posted the following on the skeptimist blog, but I figured it was worth repeating on this specific posting:

Have you ever taken a multiple choice test where none of the answers given are right? It's a helpless feeling because you have to choose SOMETHING but you know none of them work. Even by skipping the question you're basically choosing an answer because it's a guaranteed wrong answer. That's how I feel. Here's what I'm talking about:

Question: Who is correct on the national healthcare debate?

a.) Obama/Democrats (universal healthcare)
b.) Republicans (want things to stay pretty much the same)

At least in class I could raise my hand and bring this up to the teacher. Unfortunately, I no longer know where Mrs. Smith is anymore.

Jim said...

That's a good analogy for the present debate, and also a good illustration of what you get from our two-party system. It's "keep the current, bad system in place," or "take the current, bad system and make it worse in the name of 'fairness.'"

The lack of critical thought going on here is pretty shocking. Liberals see a health care system that costs a lot and doesn't cover everybody, and their impulse is to shift the cost burden instead of addressing the reasons it costs so much in the first place. "If the government pays for health insurance, then it'll be cheap for everybody!" It's an analysis that borders on the mindless.

Then Republicans counter with "No, don't do that," which contributes nothing to the argument.

Also, I got part of your voicemail from last week (only part, and late, due to bad cell phone reception in the mountains). I may not have heard the whole thing, in regard to e-mail, drop me a line anytime at james.b.patterson at hotmail.

Unknown said...

It wouldn't be easy to 'police' health insurance based on health behaviors without an initial coverage appointment.
The problem with appointments designed to determine coverage is bias. Specifically they are biased toward people with pre-existing conditions.
Take breast cancer for example: the biggest risk factors for breast cancer are getting older and being female. Neither of those are related to health behaviors. While things like smoking and hormone enhancers also increase the risk of breast cancer, there are many women who get breast cancer who are otherwise healthy. If I get breast cancer and am otherwise healthy in terms of health behaviors (smoking, drinking, exercise), how would we guarantee I wouldn't be denied coverage b/c of my cancer status? What would stop a company from trying to find any arbitrary past behavior as a reason to cite either coverage denial or high premiums for that person?

How would we police smoking behavior and lack of exercise? Self-report wouldn't be a good index because it is doubtful people would admit to smoking or not exercising if they knew it would up their insurance premiums. In the case of car insurance, it is hard to deny an accident when it is on file with the police. When there isn't a public record of health behaviors, documentation becomes an issue.

One could advocate for indexes like BMI to determine premiums. The problem there is that BMI is flawed. An athlete or someone with a decent amount of muscle mass could have an overweight BMI. That athlete would likely be healthier than someone who has a BMI of normal weight but doesn't exercise. If BMI were used to decide premiums the healthier athlete in this case would pay more than the other person, despite a being more healthful.

One could use a physical to determine premiums, but there cost is a problem. Paying out of pocket for a physical is CRAZY expensive. I narrowly escaped having to pay out of pocket for one in the summer before grad school, when my insurance coverage was between gray and none.

I definitely understand where you're coming from with your argument. It's a valid point, but I'm not sure it is something that would be easy to put into play.

Jim said...

Well, I'm not sure we're having the same argument in this case. I don't want to "police health insurance," which in fact I'm afraid is what will happen once we arrive at a public, single-payer system. I would prefer to have people "police" their own health status by paying the true cost of their lifestyles. Insurance absolves most people of those costs, because it transfers most of the expense to the insurer, which then passes on the expense to everyone else in the form of higher premiums.

To my mind, it makes very little sense to have health insurance for things other than catostrophic accidents or random, deadly diseases (such as the cancer in your example). The majority of health costs in this country stem from behaviors that people choose to engage in: smoking, over-eating, and reckless driving, above all. The point of insurance is to protect against unpredictable and unavoidable problems, such as house fires and hurricanes. Type II diabetes and smoking-induced lung cancer are neither unpredictable nor unavoidable, but increasingly, it's those types of conditions that drive up the cost of medicine for all of us.

So we have two basic options for reform. We can introduce universal, public health insurance, in which case the basic arithmetic of spiraling health costs will result in some form of rationing to enforce health behaviors; or we can implement a system in which people pay for their own routine (as opposed to catostrophic) health care bills, in which case an enormous incentive for cost-cutting will emerge. Physicians will win patients by offering lower prices, and patients will take better care of themselves because doing otherwise will be too costly.

Which option you prefer obviously comes down to your philosophical attitudes about how society should be organized, and it's not for me to say which is right. But to me, the alternatives seem pretty well defined.

Unknown said...

Hey Jim- I found your blog through Stefan's (this is his sister in law, Sarah) We went to school together, do you remember me?

Anyway I just wanted to tell you how much I'm enjoying reading your entries. I've been working backwards past hour.

Yeah I'm supposed to be working...

Unknown said...

*for the